By TwinsWin83
Ah yes, it’s the best time of the year. No, not Christmas, it’s October and that could only mean one thing: the MLB playoffs. Before we make our picks here is a preview of the first-round matchups.
Yankees vs. Indians
Season series: Yankees 6-0
What you should know: It’s all about A-Rod. If Rodriguez doesn’t produce this year in the post-season everything he did during the regular season (.314, 54, 156) will mean nothing in the eyes of New Yorkers and that could lead to his exit from the Bronx this offseason.
Why the Yankees will win: The Yankees have been the best team in the American League since the All-Star break and are going up against a team in Cleveland that has little post-season experience. Yankee Stadium can be a daunting place to play for visitors any time of the year but especially in October. New York has two pitchers (Pettitte and Clemens) who live for October and another (Wang) who has been one of the best in the league over the past two regular seasons. If their newly-revived bullpen can support Clemens, who isn’t much more than a 5-inning pitcher now, and if the offense hits like they are capable of this team is going to be tough to beat.
Why the Indians will win: The Indians have played great baseball over the past month, running away in the Central from the Tigers and Twins. They survived a subpar first-half of the season by Travis Hafner who didn’t find his swing until September. If Hafner is hitting the Indians have a dangerous offense to go along with several solid starting pitchers and one of the better bullpens in the American League. Fausto Carmona was one of 2007’s breakthrough pitchers winning 19 games to go along with an impressive 3.06 E.R.A. and could be the wild card in this series.
What to watch for: Sabathia vs. A-Rod. The pressure is on the soon-to-be AL MVP Rodriguez and Sabathia needs to prove he can lead the Indians pitching staff. The Yankees haven’t faced Sabathia since 2004.
Who will win: As much as I would like to see the Indians prevail in this one I think the Yankees have too many weapons and are too October-tested. Yankees in 4.
Angels vs. Red Sox
Season Series: Boston 6-4
What you should know: Neither team has played a meaningful game in a while. Even though the Bo Sox nearly let their A.L. East lead dwindle away they spent the majority of the season comfortably in first and the Angels, following a late-August collapse by the Mariners, were never threatened again in the West. Both these teams need to step up their level of play if they want to advance past the ALCS.
Why the Angels will win: The Angels might have the best all-around team in the league with great pitching, solid defense and an offense that can be overpowering at times. If the Angels win it will be on the backs of their starting pitchers and defense, a formula that should sound familiar to Twins fans. The Angels have been a force when they’ve reached October recently and the 07’ squad might be their most talented yet.
Why the Red Sox will win: The Red Sox have seemingly breezed through this entire season, up until the last couple weeks when the Yankees put some pressure on them. They have three starting pitchers (Beckett, Schilling and Matsuzaka) who can be lights-out on any given night and an offense that can be scary when healthy. David Ortiz is magical at Fenway in October and if they bring a lead into the 9th odds are Papelbon will slam the door on the opponent. The questions will be how will Matsuzaka respond on the big stage and how healthy are Manny Ramirez and Curt Schilling.
What to watch for: Beckett vs. Lackey. Two Cy-Young front runners go head-to-head in the series opener and after watching Beckett against the Twins last week I give the edge to Lackey at home in Game 1.
Who will win: The big issue for L.A. right now is that Vlad is not 100% healthy. He might be a major part of the team’s offense but I believe the Angels are well-rounded enough to win even if Vlad is forced into a limited role. Angels in 5.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks
Season Series: Arizona 4-2
What you should know: Arizona has the best record in the NL. Who would have thought when this season began that the Arizona Diamondbacks would enter October with home field advantage throughout the NL playoffs? The Cubs appeared very talented coming out of Spring Training but struggled out of the gates before finding a groove after the All-Star break. In a wide open NL field either of these teams could get hot at the right time and breeze through this side of the bracket.
Why the Cubs will win: Because it’s about time. With visions of Billy Goats dancing in their heads the Cubs will try and break a 99-year curse while relying on ace Carlos Zambrano and two lefties in Ted Lilly and Rich Hill. If the starters can keep Chicago in the game they have a chance with an offense that can explode at any time, especially at home. Even in an injury-shortened season Alfanso Soriano led the team with 33 home runs. He, along with Derek Lee and Aramis Ramirez, need to put a charge into the Cubs offense. The Cubs won a mediocre Central Division but if their stars step up and play like stars Chicago could sneak by again, this time in a weak National League field.
Why the Diamondback will win: The D-Backs have defied the critics all year, winning with a young team and what was one of the worst offenses in the National League. Arizona has the reigning Cy-Young winner in Brandon Webb who has a wicked sinker and can beat anyone in the league when it’s working. Eric Burns is a spark plug, stealing 50 bases this season, and if the D-Backs can get runners on and move them around the teams pitching is good enough to keep them in any game.
What to watch for: Brandon Webb vs. The Cubs. Webb is nasty and had a streak of 42-consecutive scoreless innings this year which included a game against the Cubs. If Chicago can get to Webb it could put the D-Backs in a big hole for the rest of the series.
Who will win: It would be great to see the Cubs win it all this season and we could cross one more “cursed” team off our list (i.e. White Sox, Red Sox) but I just don’t think this is the Chicago team to put the Billy Goat to rest. The Diamondbacks are scrappy and will ride Webb and home field advantage to a series win. DiamondBacks in 5.
Rockies vs. Phillies
Season Series: Rockies 4-3
What you should know: Two Cinderella’s don’t get to go to the ball. The Rockies and Phillies are the two feel good stories of this year’s playoffs but one of them will be heading home after this first-round matchup. The Phillies won the East despite a less-than-average pitching staff and the Rockies have stormed into the playoffs by winning 14 of their last 15 games.
Why the Rockies will win: The Rockies are the hottest team in baseball heading into the playoffs and if the Cardinals taught us anything last year it was that the best team doesn’t always win, the team that’s playing the best at the time does. Many people don’t know much about the Rox but Colorado is stocked full of potential stars. Matt Holiday should be the NL MVP (.340, 36, 137), Troy Tulowitzki, who anchors a solid defense at shortstop, should be rookie of the year and Todd Helton is always dangerous at the plate. The Rockies have a high team E.R.A. but it is seemingly offset by their top ranked offense, shown by their franchise record 90-wins this season. Jeff Francis quietly won 17 games pitching in a home stadium infamous for hampering pitchers careers. This team seems to have a bit of magic about them as October gets under way and that could spell trouble for opponents.
Why the Phillies will win: The Phillies were nearly as hot as the Rockies over the final weeks of the season, apparent by their ability to catch the sinking Mets who they trailed by 7 games with 17 games left to play. They have defied the odds by winning 89 games this season with an offense that carried a patch-work pitching staff. There are two potential MVP candidates on the Phillies roster in Ryan Howard (.268, 47, 136) and Jimmy Rollins (.296, 30, 94), both of whom can ignite this team with one swing of the bat. Although the pitching staff has struggled this year Cole Hamels and 44 year-old Jamie Moyer won 15 and 14 games this season, respectively. They, along with the bullpen, will need to pitch well to give Philadelphia a chance this post-season. Former Twins pitchers Kyle Lohse and J.C. Romero have come onboard for the Phillies this season and helped spark the teams late season run.
What to watch for: Colorado’s pitching staff vs. Chase Utley. Howard and Rollins might be the most talked about right now in Philadelphia but no one is more important to the Phillies than Utley. Chase leads the team with a .332 average and drove in 103 runs in a season where he missed 30 games with injury.
Who will win: After watching the tie-breaker game on Monday night the Rockies are too hard to pick against. The Phillies luck runs out. Rockies in 4.
So that means……
My ALCS Picks: Yankees vs. Angels
My NLCS Picks: Diamondbacks vs. Rockies
Your Picks?...